If you have closely followed the football betting market, it is likely that you are more than familiar with same old bet markets appearing on each day-the 1X2, the over/under goals and both teams to score. The bets are very popular because the bets are easily comprehended and simple to take on, and while simultaneously odds tend to be rather poor in return, but are more unlikely to bring you any kind of satisfactory long term gain.
The correct score bets work on the totally separate level of existence. It is by a great distance one of the hardest bets of all bets where one could get winning streak and if your predictions are to the points with some great logic, profit is simply gigantic. Further, let us investigate certain crucial information about correct score betting as well as how intelligent punters tend to act and what is most of the productive advice that is supported with data.
What is Correct Score Betting?
The correct score betting market is exactly that, the ability to bet on the final result of the football game. Whereas with simple wins or draws it is as simple as backing one team or the other, the correct score betting market takes you one step further where you must call the final score; 1-0, 2-1, 3-2 etc.
Because of the very difficulty involved with calling a correct score bookmakers offer the bet with very generous odds, the highest of all the betting markets. It is quite common to find the odds of the correct score on any given game, between 8.00 and 12.00 on a well matched game, on one particular correct score (e.g. 2-1) with those odds only increasing if the score itself is more unusual, a 4-2 could get you 30.00 and a 5-1 could be even more lucrative.
The amount of money you will gain for correctly calling one result can be colossal. With one bet from correct score betting you can earn the same amount, or even more than a full weeks worth of the other normal winning bets you have placed.
Why Most People Avoid Correct Score Betting (and Why That’s Where the Value Lies)
For many people correct score bets have always been ones to be feared and the potential for all of your money to disappear with just one misplaced goal in an incorrect score has turned the punters away. If you’ve backed 2-1 and the final score is 2-0 then that’s no win for you even with the result close to what you had tipped. It is this absence of both wins and consolation prizes that puts many users off.
However what seems to make the correct score a ‘risky’ bet makes it also the only place of value that they can be found. There is not much opposition from the majority of punters and therefore many bets backed at the correct score on specific scorelines should offer the highest possible value. The correct score, at the end of the day, is a calculated bet and not just a chance.
If there is any one thing that could have a single wrong score to eat at your bank roll it’s a well backed correct score tip which adds massive value to any betting strategy.
How To Make Correct Score Bets Wisely
- Look for a pattern based on a consistent result
Some teams will always have a much more stable goal scoring record compared to others. An attacking home team who are used to recording 2-0 or 2-1 victories over many other teams will always be much easier to predict than others who are used to succumbing to goals. Find dominant home teams with a tight defence and a strong attack; patterns often repeat in this market.
- Research Previous Meeting Statistics
In previous meetings between the two teams involved many matches will have produced the same result. Taking this into account can also prove incredibly valuable. For example, if many matches between the two teams have ended in 1-0 to one side then you may want to consider this as a viable correct score bet.
- Consider Team news & Motivation levels
A missing striker, suspended defender will impact on the goal scoring potential of a team, and similarly certain matches will be treated as ‘dead rubbers’. These are matches where teams may often rest certain players knowing the match is meaningless and in turn they will struggle to score more than one goal. Always check team news, looking specifically for key players in suspensions/injuries.
- Compare Probabilities to Market Odds
It’s not enough to be able to predict a correct score correctly, your correct score prediction has to carry odds to make it a value bet. So, if a tip states you should bet 3-0 and suggests it has a 19% chance of happening and the market price is 7.50, this is value. If the 3-0 tip then comes at 7.00 with only a 6% chance of happening, you should avoid the bet.
Where to Find Correct Score Bets Today
Standard markets are readily available from any prediction sites, with the majority paying very little interest to the correct score betting with a defined system. However this is where Sokapicks come into the game.
The correct score prediction part of Sokapicks.com is updated on a daily basis with matches from UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, top European, South American, and Asian league competitions. Every tip is accompanied by the odds of a correct score, the probability value of the correct score and the stakeholder, to give the level of belief the algorithm has for a certain correct score.
Here’s what a sample of the correct score section for a day looks like at Sokapicks.com:
- UEFA Europa and Conference league cover provided on day of match
- Correct score tips with accurate odds provided at Bookmakers.
- Â Probabilities predicted with the Shq model.
- Stake size level (low, medium, high confidence)
- Analysis links to aid your own in-depth research.
- Combined Odds accumulator if you wish to ‘build your own accumulator’ for larger returns.
As you can see this layout differs hugely from those “pick from this random prediction and pray it wins” style sites.
A Sample Today from Sokapicks
So the other day on a UEFA Conference League matchday Sokapicks identified a correct score prediction of 3-0 in the AEK vs Celje match, an outcome at odds of 7.50 with a 19% probability of success. Just later on the very same night it offered a 2-1 in the Mainz vs Sigma Olomouc game at 9.00 odds and a 19% probability, then Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor also presented a 2-1 at 8.50.
Here is how you can see that the best prediction site (Sokapicks) provides you with “smart” bets rather than those that come from your personal instincts. The bets that are placed in here have a real basis to back them up and they do include a probability of winning.
How to Manage Your Bankroll for Correct Score bets
Betting on correct score markets is a risky game, thus bankroll management needs to be used with the greatest care, even if you have tipster who has all best possible selections for a certain match. Stick to these easy to manage betting rules:
- Never bet more than 2-3% of your total bankroll on any single correct score bet.
- Keep low/medium staking for those without much experience and abandon high confidence bets with highest staking.
- Records of 30 bets at least are to be kept, to have reliable judgment over any tipster/system.
- Don’t stake too many correct score bets as an accumulator bet. Temptation is big as well as the stake of winning a large amount and very often also the risk.
- Make sure a daily loss is set at the start of a day and follow it.
They are all quite basic but they work because you will find out that most of professional bettors don’t try to Chase big odds day after day, but rather manage bankroll efficiently.
Summary
As you have seen, correct score betting may not be the right market for all, but for the people who are willing to put in the hard work to produce the correct predictions, or who have found the site that will do the hard work for them, it offers a whole lot for the value of your stakes.
The balance of odds, prediction and analysis that Sokapicks offers means that their correct score prediction page should be bookmarked on every punters’ browser, whether it is for taking the odd large stake on a predicted single correct score bet, or if it is to boost up a daily football accumulator bet.
